In the 1980s
I was taking a programming class. One of the students asked the teacher how
smart computers were. She said, they have an IQ of about 1. After all,
computers don't know anything until some human being puts the data in. If the
programmer didn't give the instructions correctly, the dumb machine could not
use its own judgment to correct the process.
Well, a lot
has changed in the last 30 years. Computers have more memory, faster
processors, more storage capacity, and they also have access to the internet,
which they didn't have 30 years ago. Not only do they have great capacity, but
computers are capable of learning new things through a technology called
machine learning.
If you're
not sure how to spell Constantinople ,
your computer will tell you. And don’t even think about matching your number
crunching skills with a computer, but these machines can do a lot more
sophisticated stuff than spelling and arithmetic. Way back in 1997 an IBM
computer named Deep Blue beat chess champion Garry Kasparov in a match. In 2011
a new IBM supercomputer, Watson, beat two Jeopardy champions at their game.
Technicians had been feeding data to Watson for months, but the machine was not
connected to the internet for the contest. It beat the champions with
information it held within itself.
Now Watson
is being fed medical information. IBM sees Dr. Watson as a tool that can help
human physicians. Medical computers can diagnose illnesses better than humans
can. For one thing, the machines can hold a lot more information than any human
can. Also even the best of us have our prejudices which inform our judgments.
Computers are free from prejudice and other forms of intellectual limitations
that all of us mere humans have.
Computers
can do more than just act as medical assistants. In 2001 robots beat human
beings in simulated financial trading competition. Machines can even write
financial reports and real estate analyses. They can generate news articles or
sports reports based on statistical data from games. They can write in English,
Spanish, French or German.
A company
called Yseop (pronounced Easy Op) uses artificial intelligence to help its
business customers boost revenue, reduce, costs, and increase productivity. The
company’s software enables it to speak intelligently to customers. By the year
2020, Yseop believes, every computer, smart phone, and tablet will be a smart machine,
able to reason, dialog intelligently, and express conclusions and
recommendations in natural language. Yseop’s mission is to turn every computer
into a smart machine that partners with people to increase their capacity and
performance.
Not only are
modern computers pretty smart, but individual machines get even more
intelligent through machine learning. I will take a look at machine learning
next week.
The computer
on which I compiled this blog is far from being a top-of-the-line, newest
machine. I bought it about five years ago for $300. I think I’m smarter than
this machine, but I’ve been wrong about my own capabilities before. I’m
planning to get a new computer within the next year. Will I be smarter than the
new machine? I wouldn’t bet on it.
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